Earlier, several universities made their own respective predictions of who will win the football World Cup, despite football consistently giving rather odd results, as it fans know only too well. So how have they fared in trying to subject the works of football's deities to science? See these:
A. Freie Universität Berlin - Germany
The scientists from this university claimed that "success in a national soccer championship is highly predictable; nearly all our hypotheses are confirmed." and used a simulator based on historical data and taking into account the occasional upset. They say that there is a 66-70% probability that one of Gemany, Spain, Argentina and Brazil will win the cup and that Germany will face off with Spain in the final.
And who wins, according to the Germans? Spain. And where is mighty Spain now?
Football, mein damen und herren.
B. University of Innsbruck and the Vienna School of Economics and Business
In a study made by statisticians from both universities, they gave Brazil the highest chance of winning the World Cup, with a 22.5% probability of doing so. Fair enough, as Brazil is still in it. Next up is Argentina with 15.8%, Germany 13.4%, and already ousted Spain at 11.8%, with Belgium the dark horse, predicted to have a 4.8% chance of winning. They claim that the most likely finals matchup will be South American rivals Brazil vs. Argentina.
Even if the same universities correctly predicted the result of the previous World Cup in South Africa, they still say that they are a very long way from being able to determine with 100% certainty who will win, but if they get it spot on again this year, we could at least say that they've gotten close enough.